Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.502337 16.386395 18.437477 20.838595 23.575516 26.601591 30.205917
2025-02-16 10.869966 13.230104 16.008578 19.530317 23.888828 29.123392 35.913029
2025-02-23 8.638484 11.193383 14.406883 18.766112 24.557412 32.031335 42.479553
2025-03-02 7.147666 9.774098 13.271810 18.305513 25.422036 35.209278 49.837501
2025-03-09 6.137413 8.799066 12.526704 18.180314 26.630143 38.935570 58.478072
2025-03-16 5.352941 8.003003 11.884350 18.054200 27.748996 42.619099 67.580120
2025-03-23 4.903004 7.619919 11.767769 18.656424 30.000827 48.273343 80.602883
2025-03-30 4.412061 7.098655 11.355669 18.710306 31.348264 52.631769 92.150165
2025-04-06 3.909555 6.488918 10.715189 18.282150 31.797272 55.503141 101.514330
2025-04-13 3.509186 5.995183 10.197465 17.977013 32.385459 58.647341 111.809297
2025-04-20 3.294075 5.789786 10.140017 18.463929 34.446490 64.714660 128.626751
2025-04-27 3.118712 5.631614 10.141869 19.049173 36.754725 71.548335 148.085709
2025-05-04 2.891964 5.361742 9.923378 19.216446 38.331043 77.294475 166.571078
2025-05-11 2.617736 4.972737 9.438935 18.803431 38.687322 80.629389 180.481453
2025-05-18 2.386268 4.640298 9.025380 18.479618 39.183615 84.336385 195.940031
2025-05-25 2.190377 4.356316 8.674863 18.240090 39.824634 88.452557 213.141330
2025-06-01 2.038260 4.144068 8.445135 18.227763 40.966081 93.869873 234.574113
2025-06-08 1.896744 3.938254 8.205156 18.160169 41.967683 99.108757 256.570074
2025-06-15 1.828563 3.880525 8.273369 18.798255 44.731316 109.043751 293.036626
2025-06-22 1.720472 3.724179 8.108198 18.869499 46.118843 115.755044 321.984704
2025-06-29 1.585939 3.495061 7.755444 18.446141 46.198989 119.096805 341.951161
2025-07-06 1.472917 3.303142 7.466884 18.142567 46.541301 123.178627 364.929754
2025-07-13 1.421804 3.249293 7.494470 18.636681 49.075472 133.680633 409.915688